Three Theories for Why Trump’s Primary Results Are Not Matching Expectations

1: Undecided votersOne simple explanation is that undecided voters ultimately backed Ms. Haley, the former South Carolina governor. Other than Mr. DeSantis dropping out of the race, which led that voting group to shift toward Mr. Trump, Mr. Trump’s support in the early states was flat over the month or so before these elections. For many pollsters, the problem is baked in from the start: They don’t even interview prior Democratic primary voters. The decision to survey prior Republican primary voters is understandable — it makes the poll much cheaper and homes in on the respondents likeliest to vote — but it will obviously miss any previous Democratic voters who choose to participate in a Republican primary. The post Three Theories for Why Trump’s Primary Results Are Not Matching Expectations appeared first on New York Times.